Monitored Country Risk Profiles

Election Phase: Post-election

Key Risks: Single-party control; journalist restrictions; low turnout; regional spillover from Horn of Africa.

Active Platforms: Facebook, WhatsApp, FM radio

Last Update: May 25, 2026

Election Phase: Campaign

Key Risks: Active conflict in Amhara and Oromia regions; ethnic mobilisation; displacement; restricted media access.

Active Platforms: Facebook, Telegram, X (Twitter), WhatsApp, FM radio

Last Update: May 25, 2026

Election Phase: Registration

Key Risks: Post-transition fragility; security-sector reform tensions; diaspora-vote logistics.

Active Platforms: Facebook, WhatsApp, FM radio

Last Update: May 25, 2026

Election Phase: Registration

Key Risks: History of coups; military interference; election-date disputes; narco-trafficking networks.

Active Platforms: Facebook, WhatsApp, FM radio

Last Update: May 25, 2026

Election Phase: Pre-election

Key Risks: Voter intimidation in select counties, social-media disinformation, ethnic mobilisation.

Active Platforms: X (Twitter), TikTok, WhatsApp, FM radio, Facebook

Last Update: May 18, 2026

Election Phase: Campaign

Key Risks: Western Sahara tensions; low engagement; Rif region grievances; social-media disinformation.

Active Platforms: Facebook, X (Twitter), TikTok, WhatsApp, YouTube

Last Update: May 25, 2026

Election Phase: Post-election

Key Risks: Long-incumbent dominance; suppressed turnout; restrictions on opposition campaigning.

Active Platforms: Facebook, WhatsApp, FM radio

Last Update: May 25, 2026

Election Phase: Campaign

Key Risks: Stable democracy; campaign-finance transparency concerns; small-island logistics around inter-island travel.

Active Platforms: Facebook, WhatsApp, FM radio

Last Update: May 25, 2026

Election Phase: Registration

Key Risks: Coalition fragility post-2024 result; service-delivery protests; xenophobic incidents in metros.

Active Platforms: X (Twitter), Facebook, WhatsApp, TikTok, YouTube

Last Update: May 25, 2026